Weekly Market Report: May 2nd, 2025

SpringHill Capital

May 5, 2025

The banking system opened the week with a positive liquidity balance of ₦1.6 trillion, holding steady throughout. Monday’s bond auction reopened the Apr 2029s and May 2033s. Though some expected higher stop rates in line with OMO yields, the auction cleared flat, falling short of expectations. Post-auction, the May 2033s led activity, trading around 19.90%.Demand weakened for NTBs after Tuesday’s OMO announcement, as investors adjusted their positions ahead of potential liquidity tightening and rising yields. Despite the back-to-back auctions, liquidity stayed positive, closing at ₦1.2 trillion

The All-Share Index inched upward 0.27% as firms meet the Q1’25 result deadline. Tier 1 banks released mixed results as impressive revenue growth struggled to translate to significant profit growth. Profit taking prevailed as Oil & Gas and Banking index declined by 2.90% and 0.38% respectively. We expect investor demand to persist as value plays are identified from Q1’25 earnings.

 FGN Apr 2029FGN May 2033
Sales (₦‘bn)21.12376.77
Stop Rates19.00%19.99%
FGN BondOpen (Yield)Close (Yield)Chg
WoW
%%(Bps)
Apr-2919.0019.000
Feb-3119.8019.95(15)
May-3319.8019.95(15)
Jan-3519.4519.450
Jun-5316.9516.905
NTBBidAskEffective Yield
%%%
23-Apr-2619.3019.2023.61
9-Apr-2619.2019.1523.32
26-Mar-2619.3019.2523.26

All eyes are on Wednesday’s ₦550 billion NTB auction, supported by ₦527 billion in expected inflows from NTB and OMO maturing. Early-week activity may include some offloading as investors reposition ahead of the sale.

Given the system’s positive liquidity position, there’s a strong likelihood of oversubscription, which may prompt the CBN to increase the offer size to absorb excess funds. Yield direction will depend on demand strength and where stop rates eventually settle relative to secondary market levels.

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Fixed Income in Focus: The market opened net long as under-allocation at the bond auction redirected demand into the secondary market. The 2032s repriced +210bps to 18.00% from the last print, while the new 2030s closed at 17.95%. Consequently, yields

Fixed Income in Focus: The market opened net long as under-allocation at the bond auction redirected demand into the secondary market. The 2032s repriced +210bps to 18.00% from the last print, while the new 2030s closed at 17.95%. Consequently, yields