Weekly Market Report: February 16th – 20th, 2026

SpringHill Capital

February 23, 2026

The market opened the week subdued, with system liquidity firm at ₦4.68tn, as CBN conducted short-dated OMO auctions (8/99-day and 7/105-day), clearing at 22.39% and 19.48% on c.3.8x cover. The T-bills market rallied into the mid-week auction, with demand skewed to the long end as the 365-day (18-Feb) bill cleared c.100bps below the previous print on a strong 5.09x cover. Post-auction, the new 1-year bill opened c.55bps below its stop and traded moderately into the close, with flows settling at 15.45%–15.65%. Bonds remained firm, as mid-tenor (31s/32s/33s/34s/35s) demand drove c.60bps of compression from the open on positioning ahead of a constructive bond auction, with flows settling around 16.05%–16.15% while liquidity closed net surplus at ₦2.15tn.

The ASI advanced 6.95% WoW to 194,989.77, with broad-based strength across sectors. Industrials led (+10.10%), followed by Oil & Gas (+8.66%) and Food & Beverage (+6.10%), and Insurance (+4.73%) trailed but remained positive. The rally was liquidity and PENCOM news sentiment driven , anchored by large-cap participation across energy, industrial and financial names.

 91 Days182 Days364 Days
Sales (₦‘bn)105.05080.6101,710.296
Stop Rates15.80%16.65%15.90%
FGN BondOpen (Yield)Close (Yield)Chg
WoW
%%(Bps)
Feb-3116.6516.0060
May-3316.7016.0565
Feb-3416.6516.0560
Jan-3516.6516.0065
Jun-5314.5014.1040
NTBOpenCloseEffective Yield
%%%
18-Feb-2715.3515.6518.52
04-Feb-2716.0515.4018.04
19-Nov-2715.3515.6017.64

The week opens with the FGN bond auction in view, where the DMO plans to reopen ₦800bn across the 17.95% Jun-2032s, 19.89% May-2033s and 19.00% Feb-2034s. Liquidity should stay supported by c.₦1.3tn in coupon inflows (Feb-31s, Feb-34s, Feb-28s and Aug-30s) alongside incoming OMO maturities. Set against the 304th MPC, this week’s tone should be driven by the Committee’s outcome and the auction clearing print.

On the equities end, after a near 7% weekly surge and three-week cumulative rally, we expect near-term consolidation with selective rotation, particularly within liquid industrial and energy names.

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Fixed Income in Focus: The week opened on muted trading with system liquidity in surplus at ₦2.6tn as focus centered on the bond auction and early-week MPC print. The bond auction cleared bullish at 15.50–15.74% on a 3.37x cover across

Fixed Income in Focus: The week opened on muted trading with system liquidity in surplus at ₦2.6tn as focus centered on the bond auction and early-week MPC print. The bond auction cleared bullish at 15.50–15.74% on a 3.37x cover across