Weekly Market Report: January 26 – 30th, 2026

SpringHill Capital

February 2, 2026

The week opened with net liquidity of ₦3.9tn, setting the stage for a bullish bond auction that drew broad-based demand across tenors, with a 2.5x cover. Post-auction, the bond market rallied, with reopened mid-tenors (5–10yr) executing around 16.55–16.80% by close. The Treasury Bill market remained firm, with the 21-Jan issue trading c.90bps lower week-on-week. Mid-week, the CBN conducted an OMO auction that drew strong participation (9.9x cover) on longer tenors (208- and 348-day), clearing at 17.20–25.00%. A second OMO the following day was also well bid (4.3x cover), with the long end (354-day) clearing at 17.25%. Post-auction, demand clustered in the 348/354-day bills (12- and 19-Jan OMO), trading 17.10–17.15% into the close.

The NGX ASI edged lower by 0.09% WoW to close at 165,370.40. Insurance led  gains (+0.81%), while Banking underperformed (-0.63%), dragging overall market performance. Market activity reflected mild profit-taking in financial heavyweights. First Bank unaudited FY results highlighting significant impairment charges and governance concerns, likely to weigh on banking sentiment.

 18.50%
Feb 2031
19.00%
Feb 2034
22.60%
Jan 2035
Sales (₦‘bn)398.19576.33570.16
Stop Rates17.62%17.50%17.52%
FGN BondOpen (Yield)Close (Yield)Chg
WoW
%%(Bps)
Feb-3417.1516.8035
Feb-3117.2016.7050
Jan-3517.2016.7545
May-3317.3016.6565
Jun-5315.0014.6040
NTBOpenCloseEffective Yield
%%%
21-Jan-2717.2016.4519.57
07-Jan-2717.0016.5019.50
19-Nov-2616.6516.3018.73

The week is set against a scheduled FGN Treasury bill auction, where the DMO plans to issue ₦1.15tn across tenors against ₦668bn in bill maturities, implying a net supply overhang. We also expect an additional ₦402.9bn inflow from maturing OMO bills, which should provide incremental system liquidity and help cushion the supply pressure. With no key macroeconomic data in focus, market direction is likely to be driven primarily by the auction outcome.

We expect demand to remain resilient, supporting a bullish print that could extend into secondary market trading. Near-term relief is possible as some investors lock in gains ahead of the next auction.

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Fixed Income in Focus: The week opened on muted trading with system liquidity in surplus at ₦2.6tn as focus centered on the bond auction and early-week MPC print. The bond auction cleared bullish at 15.50–15.74% on a 3.37x cover across

Fixed Income in Focus: The week opened on muted trading with system liquidity in surplus at ₦2.6tn as focus centered on the bond auction and early-week MPC print. The bond auction cleared bullish at 15.50–15.74% on a 3.37x cover across