Weekly Market Report: April 17th, 2025

SpringHill Capital

April 23, 2025

Liquidity opened at ₦290 billion but declined by ₦393 billion, closing in a ₦103 billion deficit, mainly due to FX settlements late in the week. The secondary market for NTBs and FGN bonds was active, with a recovery seen as yields eased from the previous week. The 2031 and 2033 bonds led trading, showing renewed interest in medium- to long-term tenors. OMO bills remained attractive on the short end, with the 3 Feb bill extending to 22.70%. March inflation rose to 24.23% from 23.18%, driven by rising food and beverage prices. This supports expectations that the CBN will maintain its tight monetary stance to tackle inflation and stabilize the naira.

ASI fell 0.32% as sell-offs and dividend collections continued. Accesscorp and Firstholdco revealed a N2.05 and N0.60 per share  respectively. Q1 results have started rolling out with NB delivering a surprise N44 billion PAT. We expect subsequent Q1 result releases to drive trading activity over the coming weeks.

FGN BondOpen (Yield)Close (Yield)Chg
WoW
%%(Bps)
Apr-2919.5019.500
Feb-3120.2019.8535
May-3320.1520.0015
Jan-3519.3019.45(15)
Jun-5317.0016.8713
NTBBidAskEffective Yield
%%%
9-Apr-2619.2519.1023.46
26-Mar-2619.1519.0023.10
19-Mar-2619.1019.0023.00

We expect market sentiment remains cautious ahead of the upcoming NTB auction given tight system liquidity and higher inflation expectations. The CBN’s planned ₦400 billion issuance slightly above maturing bills could drive stop rates higher, particularly on the 364-day tenor.

In the secondary market, activity is likely to stay defensive, with a focus on high-yield, short-term assets as inflationary and funding pressures persist.

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Fixed Income in Focus: The week opened with a ₦771bn CBN OMO auction, clearing at 23.99% on the long end. Liquidity opened strong at ₦1.28tn but dropped to ₦588bn post-auction. Despite this, rate on the longer date issue fell by

Fixed Income in Focus: The week opened with a ₦771bn CBN OMO auction, clearing at 23.99% on the long end. Liquidity opened strong at ₦1.28tn but dropped to ₦588bn post-auction. Despite this, rate on the longer date issue fell by