Weekly Market Report: March 28th, 2025

SpringHill Capital

April 4, 2025

Liquidity improved by ₦1.9tn, closing at ₦998bn, driven by NTB maturities, bond coupon payments, and FACC inflows. Monday’s bond auction saw higher stop rates of 19.00% and 19.99% on the reopened 29s and 33s. Investors locked in NTB rates, anticipating a slight decline against Wednesday’s auction, which saw a 31-bps drop (Bid-to-cover: 2.43). Despite improved liquidity, the market remained largely offered for the rest of the week as investors offloaded positions closing Q1 on a cautious note.

The ASI turned bullish this week cutting its losing streak with a 0.66% gain. Sentiment around the banking sector improved dramatically with the index registering a 5.61% gain, as investors position for the declared dividends of Tier 1 banks.

 91 Days182 Days364 Days
Sales (₦‘bn)38.6524.27745.80
Stop Rates18.00%18.50%19.63%
FGN BondOpen (Yield)Close (Yield)Chg
WoW
%%(Bps)
Apr-2919.5518.8075
Feb-3119.8419.5529
May-3320.2019.6555
Jan-3518.9018.7020
Jun-5316.9016.7020
NTBBidAskEffective Yield
%%%
26-Mar-2619.4519.3523.93
19-Mar-2619.3019.2023.59
12-Mar-2619.3019.1523.41
TickerCloseChgVolumeValue
  %  ‘000₦’Mill
GEREGU1141.50.00%8,029     8,248.71
ZENITHBANK473.07%155,490     7,412.84
GTCO68.818.21%93,290     6,181.76
UBA36.9-1.99%122,117     4,623.31
ACCESSCORP22.351.13% 205,005     4,541.58
FIDELITYBK196.15%195,846     3,683.87
NESTLE10204.62%3,547     3,584.67
SEPLAT57000.00%695     3,562.89
MTNN2450.00%9,376     2,237.31
PRESCO7850.00%2,095     1,573.51

Investors are closely watching for the release of the Q2 auction calendar, which could provide clarity on future issuances and influence positioning. As expectations build, investors may affirm their stance, leading to stronger demand and improved sentiment in the secondary market. Additionally, there is an increased likelihood of a CBN OMO auction to drain excess funds which could drive rates in the secondary market higher.

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Fixed Income in Focus: Liquidity deficit worsened by ₦1.2tn, closing at ₦1.9tn and marginally pushing yields higher. NTB activity started slow, with pockets of demand. But tight liquidity and excess supply signaled rising yields, prompting heavy offloading ahead of Wednesday’s

Fixed Income in Focus: Liquidity deficit worsened by ₦1.2tn, closing at ₦1.9tn and marginally pushing yields higher. NTB activity started slow, with pockets of demand. But tight liquidity and excess supply signaled rising yields, prompting heavy offloading ahead of Wednesday’s